Carbon accumulation potential from natural forest regrowth in reforestable areas

✦ DISCOVERED BY ORIONAICook-Patton, S.C., S.M. Leavitt, D. Gibbs, N.L. Harris, K. Lister, K.J. Anderson-Teixeira, R.D. Briggs, R.L. Chazdon, T.W. Crowther, P.W. Ellis, H.P. Griscom, V. Herrmann, K.D. Holl, R.A. Houghton, C. Larrosa, G. Lomax, R. Lucas, P. Madsen, Y. Malhi, A. Paquette, J.D. Parker, K. Paul, D. Routh, S. Roxburgh, S. Saatchi, J.van den Hoogen, W.S. Walker, C.E. Wheeler, S.A. Wood, L. Xu, B.W. Griscom. 2020. Mapping carbon accumulation potential from natural forest regrowth. Nature, in press. [https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2686-x](https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2686-x). This work resulted from a collaboration between The Nature Conservancy, World Resources Institute, and 18 other institutions.  BiodiversityGlobal
Global

About this dataset

This map shows the rate at which forests could capture carbon from the atmosphere and store it in aboveground live biomass over the first 30 years of natural forest regrowth. It was created by combining ground-based measurements at thousands of locations around the world with 66 co-located environmental covariate layers in a machine learning model to produce a wall-to-wall map. Forest plot data used to train the model are sourced from published literature, which can be found in the Forest Carbon database (ForC, maintained by the Smithsonian Institute (https://github.com/forc-db), as well as georeferenced data from publicly available national forest inventories. Although rates were estimated over all forest and savanna biomes globally, they are filtered here by “reforestable” area, as defined in Griscom et al. 2017 (PNAS). Reforestable areas exclude areas of native grasslands and croplands to safeguard the production of food and fiber and habitat for biological diversity.  Estimates the rate at which carbon could be sequestered in aboveground live biomass during the first thirty years of natural forest regrowth in potentially reforestable areas (Mg carbon/ha/yr).

Documentation

- Values represent best estimates but contain uncertainty. Accuracy of results depends on data availability for model training, which is concentrated in ten countries. The uncertainty map associated with this data layer can be downloaded from GNW’s Open Data Portal.  - Carbon accumulation rates are applicable to natural forest regrowth only, and do not apply to other active restoration methods (agroforestry, plantations, etc.).  - Carbon accumulation rates are linear and averaged over the first 30 years of regrowth. Extending beyond 30 years will over-estimate sequestration.  - Rates reflect carbon accumulation in aboveground live biomass only. Accumulation in belowground biomass, dead organic matter and soil organic carbon are not included but a belowground carbon accumulation map is available upon request.  - In savannas, rates only apply to forested portions of these grassland-forest matrices.  - These data are not a substitute for detailed site-level assessments of forest regrowth potential. 

Imagery details

Resolution1 km

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Environment · Harris et al. 2021 Nature Climate Change: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00976-6
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Biodiversity · Hansen, M. C., P. V. Potapov, R. Moore, M. Hancher, S. A. Turubanova, A. Tyukavina, D. Thau, S. V. Stehman, S. J. Goetz, T. R. Loveland, A. Kommareddy, A. Egorov, L. Chini, C. O. Justice, and J. R. G. Townshend. 2013. “High-Resolution Global Maps of 21st-Century Forest Cover Change.” *Science* 342 (15 November): 850–53. Data available from: [earthenginepartners.appspot.com/science-2013-global-forest](http://earthenginepartners.appspot.com/science-2013-global-forest).
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- This data set, a collaboration between the Global Land Analysis & Discovery (GLAD) () lab at the University of Maryland (UMD), Google, USGS, and NASA, measures areas of tree cover loss across all global land (except - Antarctica and other Arctic islands) at approximately 30 × 30 meter resolution. The data were generated using multispectral satellite imagery from the Landsat 5 thematic mapper (TM), the Landsat 7 thematic mapper plus (ETM+), and the Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) sensors. Over 1 million satellite images were processed and analyzed, including over 600,000 Landsat 7 images for the 2000-2012 interval, and more than 400,000 Landsat 5, 7, and 8 images for updates for the 2011-2022 interval, and additional images used for 2023, 2024 and 2025. The clear land surface observations in the satellite images were assembled and a supervised learning algorithm was applied to identify per pixel tree cover loss.  - In this data set, “tree cover” is defined as all vegetation greater than 5 meters in height, and may take the form of natural forests or plantations across a range of canopy densities. Tree cover loss is defined as “stand replacement disturbance” which is considered to be clearing of at least half of tree cover within a 30-meter pixel. The exact threshold is variable both through space and time, and is biome-dependent. Tree cover loss may be the result of human activities, including forestry practices such as timber harvesting or deforestation (the conversion of natural forest to other land uses), as well as natural causes such as disease or storm damage. Fire is another widespread cause of tree cover loss, and can be either natural or human-induced.  - This data set has been updated five times since its creation, and now includes loss up to 2025 (Version 1.13). The analysis method has been modified in numerous ways, including new data for the target year, re-processed data for previous years (2011 and 2012 for the Version 1.1 update, 2012 and 2013 for the Version 1.2 update, and 2014 for the Version 1.3 update), and improved modelling and calibration. These modifications improve change detection for 2011-2025, including better detection of boreal loss due to fire, smallholder rotation agriculture in tropical forests, selective losing, and short cycle plantations. Since the entire historical timeseries was not reprocessed with the updated methodology, time-series assessments should be performed with caution. Read more about the Version 1.13 update here:  and access on GEE here: .  - When zoomed out (< zoom level 13), pixels of loss are shaded according to the density of loss at the 30 x 30 meter scale. Pixels with darker shading represent areas with a higher concentration of tree cover loss, whereas pixels with lighter shading indicate a lower concentration of tree cover loss. There is no variation in pixel shading when the data is at full resolution (≥ zoom level 13).  - The tree cover canopy density of the displayed data varies according to the selection - use the legend on the map to change the minimum tree cover canopy density threshold.  Identifies areas of gross tree cover loss

Biodiversity · Hansen, M. C., P. V. Potapov, R. Moore, M. Hancher, S. A. Turubanova, A. Tyukavina, D. Thau, S. V. Stehman, S. J. Goetz, T. R. Loveland, A. Kommareddy, A. Egorov, L. Chini, C. O. Justice, and J. R. G. Townshend. 2013. “High-Resolution Global Maps of 21st-Century Forest Cover Change.” _Science_ 342 (15 November): 850–53. [doi: 10.1126/science.1244693](https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1244693). Data available from: [https://glad.earthengine.app/view/global-forest-change](https://glad.earthengine.app/view/global-forest-change).

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